ABP Network-C Voter Presents the Opinion Poll for Assembly Elections of 2021

·         The poll predicts 43.7 % vote share for UPA and 30.6% vote share for NDA in Tamil Nadu

·         The poll predicts big gains for LDF in Kerala with 42.9%  vote share

National, 15^th March 2021 (GNI): As the election season is picking up its speed in West Bengal, Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and Puducherry, ABP Network released the findings of its opinion poll across the five regions. ABP Network along with research partner C-Voter (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research), conducted the opinion poll to know the mood of the nation.

As per public opinion, the ABP Network-CVoter poll predicts that for the upcoming elections in Tamil Nadu, UPA is expected to get 43.7 % vote share (161 to 169 seats), whereas NDA stands second with 30.6% vote share (53 to 61 seats).

Tamil Nadu	Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Tamil Nadu	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others)	39.4	43.7	4.3
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others)	43.7	30.6	-13.1
MNM	0.0	7.0	7.0
AMMK	0.0	6.4	6.4
Others	16.9	12.3	-4.6
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0

Tamil Nadu	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Tamil Nadu	From	To
UPA (DMK+Congress+Others)	161	169
NDA (AIADMK+BJP+Others)	53	61
MNM	2	6
AMMK	1	5
Others	3	7
Total	234

In Puducherry, they poll predicts that UPA will receive 40.7% vote share, followed by NDA with 45.4 % vote share.

Puducherry	Party Alliance : Votes
Alliance Votes : Puducherry	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
UPA (Congress+DMK)	39.5	40.7	1.2
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK)	30.5	45.4	14.9
Others	30.0	13.9	-16.1
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0

Puducherry	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Puducherry	From	To
UPA (Congress+DMK)	10	14
NDA (AINRC+BJP+ADMK)	16	20
Others	0	1
Total	30

In Kerala, LDF is expected to receive 42.9% vote share, followed byUDF with 37.9% vote share.

Kerala	Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes: Kerala	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
LDF	43.5	42.9	-0.6
UDF	38.8	37.9	-0.9
BJP	14.9	14.6	-0.3
Others	2.8	4.6	1.8
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0

Kerala	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Kerala	From	To
LDF	77	85
UDF	54	62
BJP	0	2
Others	0	1
Total	140

In Assam, NDA is expected to get 45.0% vote share (64 to 72 seats), whereas UPA stands second with 42.2% vote share (52 to 60 Seats).

Assam	Party Alliance : Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : Assam	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
NDA	41.9	45.0	3.1
UPA	31.0	42.2	11.2
Others	27.1	12.8	-14.3
Total	100.0	100.0	0.0

Assam	Projected Range Of Seats
Alliance Seats : Assam	From	To
NDA	64	72
UPA	52	60
Others	0	5
Total	126

In West Bengal, TMC is expected to get 43.4% vote share (150 to 166 seats), followed by BJP with 38.4% vote share (98 to 114 seats).

West Bengal	Party Alliance: Votes (%)
Alliance Votes : West Bengal	2016 Results	2021 Projection	Swing
TMC	44.9	43.4	-1.5
BJP	10.2	38.4	28.2
INC+LEFT+ISF	37.9